Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 1.009510e-04 0.000117 0.000134 0.000153 0.000173 0.000195 0.000219
2025-04-13 6.904434e-05 0.000091 0.000116 0.000146 0.000180 0.000217 0.000261
2025-04-20 5.223180e-05 0.000077 0.000106 0.000143 0.000188 0.000238 0.000299
2025-04-27 4.075897e-05 0.000067 0.000099 0.000142 0.000195 0.000257 0.000333
2025-05-04 3.147195e-05 0.000057 0.000092 0.000139 0.000199 0.000270 0.000361
2025-05-11 2.655995e-05 0.000053 0.000090 0.000142 0.000210 0.000293 0.000399
2025-05-18 2.137193e-05 0.000047 0.000086 0.000141 0.000216 0.000308 0.000428
2025-05-25 1.745047e-05 0.000043 0.000083 0.000142 0.000223 0.000325 0.000458
2025-06-01 1.619283e-05 0.000043 0.000085 0.000151 0.000240 0.000355 0.000506
2025-06-08 1.390400e-05 0.000040 0.000085 0.000154 0.000251 0.000376 0.000542
2025-06-15 1.223157e-05 0.000039 0.000085 0.000158 0.000263 0.000399 0.000581
2025-06-22 1.052472e-05 0.000037 0.000084 0.000162 0.000273 0.000419 0.000617
2025-06-29 7.760570e-06 0.000032 0.000079 0.000157 0.000272 0.000426 0.000635
2025-07-06 5.220250e-06 0.000027 0.000071 0.000150 0.000268 0.000427 0.000646
2025-07-13 3.782550e-06 0.000024 0.000068 0.000147 0.000270 0.000437 0.000669
2025-07-20 2.706877e-06 0.000021 0.000065 0.000146 0.000273 0.000448 0.000693
2025-07-27 1.758846e-06 0.000018 0.000061 0.000143 0.000273 0.000455 0.000712
2025-08-03 1.398300e-06 0.000017 0.000061 0.000146 0.000283 0.000476 0.000749
2025-08-10 9.246588e-07 0.000016 0.000059 0.000145 0.000287 0.000488 0.000775
2025-08-17 6.081025e-07 0.000014 0.000057 0.000146 0.000293 0.000502 0.000803
2025-08-24 5.946823e-07 0.000015 0.000060 0.000155 0.000311 0.000535 0.000857
2025-08-31 4.364098e-07 0.000014 0.000060 0.000158 0.000321 0.000556 0.000894
2025-09-07 3.390166e-07 0.000014 0.000061 0.000163 0.000334 0.000580 0.000936